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    Tariffs on China could shrink your holiday budget

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    Zixuan Lai
    ·November 28, 2025
    ·7 min read
    Tariffs on China could shrink your holiday budget
    Image Source: pexels

    You may see higher prices when you buy fake Christmas trees this year. Tariffs on China make things cost more for stores and people everywhere. Almost 85% of all fake Christmas trees sold in the U.S. are from China, so these tariffs matter a lot. The National Tree Company, a big name in holiday decorations, is affected by these changes. Prices have gone up by 10% to 15% in only one year. This means your holiday budget might get smaller faster than you think.

    Key Takeaways

    • Artificial Christmas trees will cost more this year because of tariffs on imports from China. Plan your budget so you are not surprised.

    • Shop early to get better deals and more options. Shopping early also helps you avoid busy stores and empty shelves.

    • You can try using natural Christmas trees instead. They usually cost less because tariffs do not affect them.

    • Watch for sales during big shopping days like Black Friday and Cyber Monday. These sales can help you save a lot on holiday decorations.

    • Write a shopping list before you go to the store. This helps you stay on track and not buy things you do not need.

    Tariffs on China and Tree Costs

    Tariffs on China and Tree Costs
    Image Source: pexels

    How Tariffs Affect Imports

    Tariffs on China make holiday shopping more expensive for you. When the U.S. government adds tariffs, you pay extra for things from China. These extra charges include artificial Christmas trees. You notice higher prices in stores and online. Tariffs on China have made prices go up by about 20%. This year, trees cost more, with prices rising 10% to 15% from last year. Some trees are up to $5 more each. On some imports, tariffs are as high as 145%.

    Tip: Tariffs are like a tax. If you buy a tree made in China, you help pay that tax. That is why your favorite holiday decorations cost more.

    Price Increases for Shops and Shoppers

    Stores feel pressure when tariffs go up. Shop owners must choose to raise prices or pay the extra cost themselves. Most stores raise prices, so you pay more for holiday decorations. You see these price jumps in stores and online. The National Tree Company tries to keep prices low. They moved much of their production from China to Southeast Asia. This helps lower costs and keeps trees affordable for you.

    Here is a quick look at how prices compare:

    Type of Tree

    Average Price (2024)

    Tariff Impact

    Competitive Advantage

    Artificial (imported)

    $80 - $120

    High

    Convenience, durability

    Artificial (Southeast Asia)

    $75 - $110

    Lower

    Lower tariff, stable supply

    Natural

    $65 - $100

    None

    No tariffs, fresh scent

    Natural trees do not have tariffs. This gives them an advantage. You might pick a natural tree to save money. Still, artificial trees are safe, last longer, and are easy to set up. Many families like them for these reasons.

    Tariffs on China make artificial Christmas trees cost more this year. The National Tree Company tries to keep prices fair, but tariffs and supply chain problems still affect your holiday budget.

    Pricing, Profits, and Competition

    Passing Costs to Customers

    When tariffs go up, stores may charge you more. Shop owners must choose to raise prices or pay the extra cost. They think about how much competition they have. They also wonder how you will react. Most stores raise prices to stay in business. Some stores try to keep prices the same. They might cut perks or look for new suppliers. You notice these changes on price tags. Sometimes you see changes in your shopping experience.

    Impact on Profit Margins

    Tariffs do not just change what you pay. They also make it harder for stores to earn money. When costs rise, stores must raise prices to keep profits. If they do not, they make less money. This makes it tough for stores to offer deals. Many stores, like Dollar Tree, say tariffs make it hard to keep prices low. You may see fewer discounts or special offers this holiday season.

    Competing with Natural Trees

    Natural Christmas trees do not have tariffs. Sometimes they cost less than fake trees. This gives natural trees a price advantage. Still, most families—about 83%—want fake trees. Fake trees last longer and are easy to use. Stores work hard to compete. They focus on quality, new features, and eco-friendly choices.

    Strategy

    Description

    Product Quality

    Good trees that look real and last for years.

    Innovation

    Easy to set up and store, like flip-tree technology.

    Sustainability

    Use recycled materials for shoppers who care about the planet.

    Technology

    Custom options and digital tools for better shopping.

    "The fake trees we’ve seen have been impacted by tariffs," said Bowler. You may notice this in prices and choices this year.

    Holiday Budget Impact

    Holiday Budget Impact
    Image Source: pexels

    Higher Prices, Lower Demand

    You may notice your holiday budget feels tighter this year. Tariffs on China have made artificial Christmas trees and other decor more expensive. Many families see prices go up by about $132 compared to last year. Stores are cutting inventory by up to 20% to manage costs. This means you have fewer choices when you shop for holiday decorations.

    Mac Harman, CEO of Balsam Hill, says you will see the price increase when you shop for artificial Christmas trees. You may need to adjust your holiday budget to fit these changes.

    Adjusting Holiday Spending

    You might change how you spend on holiday decor this season. Many shoppers buy less or look for cheaper options. Some switch to natural trees, which do not have tariffs. Others wait for sales or choose smaller decorations.

    • Tariffs have led to higher prices for holiday staples.

    • Inflation is at 3%, so your money does not go as far.

    • Real spending on holiday decorations is not growing. Some families spend less or skip buying new items.

    Retailers feel pressure to raise prices. You may see fewer discounts or special offers. Many stores offer less inventory, so you have fewer choices. You can plan ahead and look for deals to help your budget. Early shopping and comparing prices can make a big difference.

    Tip: Make a list of what you need before you shop. Look for sales and consider alternatives to save money.

    Managing Tariff Challenges

    Early Shopping and Inventory Planning

    You can save money if you plan ahead. Shop owners order items early to pay less. They avoid price jumps when tariffs start. Some stores buy supplies almost a year before. This helps them keep prices low for you. If you shop early, you get more choices. You also find better deals. You miss crowded stores and empty shelves. Buying holiday decor early helps you stay on budget.

    • Shop early to get good prices and more choices.

    • Look for sales like Black Friday or Cyber Monday.

    • After Christmas, stores give big discounts to clear out items.

    • Early shopping helps you plan your holiday with less stress.

    Exploring Alternative Suppliers

    Stores find new suppliers to avoid high tariffs. Many buy from places with no tariffs on holiday items. This keeps prices lower for you. Here is where stores get products now:

    Country

    Base Tariff Rate

    Notes

    Vietnam

    0%

    No tariffs for artificial Christmas trees.

    Cambodia

    0%

    No tariffs for artificial Christmas trees.

    Mexico

    0%

    No tariffs for artificial Christmas trees.

    Canada

    0%

    No tariffs for artificial Christmas trees.

    China

    7.5%

    High tariffs make prices go up.

    The National Tree Company moved much work to Southeast Asia. This helps keep prices low and supply steady.

    Communicating with Customers

    Clear talk builds trust. Shop owners should say why prices change. When you know the reason, you feel respected. Stores that share their story keep loyal shoppers. They make sure all workers give the same message. Timing is important. Telling about price changes early helps you plan.

    • Be honest about why prices are higher.

    • Show what you offer, like good quality and service.

    • Make sure everyone in the store says the same thing.

    • Tell customers about price changes before the busy season.

    The National Tree Company works to keep prices fair. They also support better trade rules to help families enjoy the holidays.

    You see how tariffs on China make artificial Christmas trees and decor cost more. Stores order less, so you have fewer choices for your holiday. Planning ahead helps you manage your budget.

    "Consumers should expect roughly a 10% price increase for many standard holiday decor items this year," said Butler.
    Use the tips in this blog to shop smart and keep your holiday bright, even when prices rise.

    FAQ

    Why do artificial Christmas trees cost more this year?

    You see higher prices because tariffs on China raise costs for imported trees. Stores pay more, so you pay more. Some shops switch suppliers, but prices still go up.

    How can you save money on holiday decor?

    Shop early and look for sales. Compare prices at different stores. You can buy after Christmas for big discounts. Make a list before you shop to avoid buying extra decor.

    Are natural Christmas trees cheaper than artificial ones?

    Natural trees often cost less because they do not have tariffs. You may save money if you choose a real tree. Many families still prefer artificial trees for convenience.

    What is the best time to buy an artificial Christmas tree?

    You get the best deals before the holiday rush. Stores offer sales during Black Friday and Cyber Monday. Shopping early gives you more choices and lower prices.

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